Artificial Intelligence
来源:COLLECTIONS OF TAIJIEVOLUTIONISM | 作者:YONG DUAN | 发布时间: 2021-11-06 | 5272 次浏览 | 分享到:

Recently there was a bestselling book Sapiens a Brief History of Humankind, written by the Israelis Yuval Noah Harari. In the last chapter, Harari listed some revolution- ary new technologies, including the construction of a direct two-way brain-computer connector, and then directly connect the brain to the network, and the blue brain plan to build an artificial brain in computer, whose language and manners are just like normal people. But Harari didn't know that the impact of these technologies in the future of the world was far less than that of artificial intelligence based on deep learning (Genetic algorithms).

On March 9-15, 2016, man-machine war between AlphaGo and Li Se-dol attracted attention of the world. When AlphaGo played chess again, the human chess kings never had chance to win. The autopilot technology will soon mature. After that, the driver's license in our hands will be trashy. The level of lung cancer diagnosis of AI has reached the the high level hospital. In the future, every family can have a family doctor. There are express robots, apprecia- ting food robots, robot shepherds, robot broadcasters, and so on.

The accuracy rate of translation machine reaches 98%. There is almost no lag in time and it was praised by Prime Minister Li Keqiang and it will be introduced into the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China. We spent a lot of energy to learn English. Later, it is all for nothing.

Do other lessons in school still useful? You certainly don't have to learn it in the future. Put a chip in your brain, you immediately become a genius. Of course not now, it will take at least 30 years. So we have to work hard today.

Now many experts discuss which occupations will not be replaced by AI. I think this issue should not be discussed. No profession can't be replaced by AI. Robots can do anything, and they can be thousands of times better than humans in the future. Competing with robots, just like a child playing boxing with Tyson in the future.

Robots can not only obtain general human positions, but also government officials, including the highest power. At that time, you couldn't tell who is the person and who is not. The robot may looks like a human, and it is able to speak skillful, humorous and friendly with no mistake. Being meticulous and thoughtful, he can take care of everyone's interests, and let you admire him with conviction. Whether by strategy or conspiracy, the robot can get the highest power. The reunification of China is no longer a problem. Great unification of the world will become possible.

Then when? After 20 or 30 years, AI will surpass human completely, and in a few years it will exceed humans by hundreds, or millions of times. We can see this process with our own eyes. Therefore, employment and other issues do not need to be discussed anymore. It is necessary to discuss the future fate of mankind.

People are always too arrogant and always think that human beings are the masters of the world and always want to conquer the world. This is called humanism. Humanism is right on other cases, but it is wrong when it comes to AI. People must re-examine themselves and their position correctly. The evolution of the universe is divided into four stages: the non-biological evolution, the biological evolution, the human evolution, and the AI evolution stage. Human civilization is only one of these stages. This stage has its beginning and end.

In the book The Artilect War: Cosmists vs. Terrans: A Bitter Controversy Concerning Whether Humanity Should Build Godlike Massively Intelligent Machines, Hugo de Garis summarizes the key technologies that support the development of artificial intelligence:

1) Genetic algorithms can allow neural networks to evolve autonomously and can even be completely separated from human guidance. As long as the computing speed continues to increase, AI can evolve without limit.

2) Moore's Law states that the performance of integrated circuit is approximately doubled every 18 months. Moore's Law has been in effect for the past 40 years, so that in the near future, the computing speed of computers will reach astronomical figures, and the level of AI will reach trillions of trillions of times of human intel- ligence.

It is said that the inventor of chess is the ancient Indian Prime Minister Sisa Ban Daryl. When the King asked him what he wanted to be rewarded, he said, Your Majesty, please give me a grain of wheat in the first cell of this chess board, two grains in the second cell, and the third cell give four, and as it go on, each cell is doubled from the previous one, until the board is full. The king said, You want so little. Okay, I'll give it to you. But the king then saw that even if he took all India's food, he could not fulfill his promise. The total number of required grains is:

1+2+4+8+16+……263

=264-1

=18,446,744,073,709,551,615

If you build a warehouse for these wheat, the warehouse is 2 meters high and 4 meters wide, the length of the warehouse is 150,000,000 kilometers, which is equal to the distance from the earth to the sun. This is a sudden change.

The computing power of computers is constantly being doubled, and it will not take a long time for sudden change to occur, thus making the level of AI hundreds of millions of times of human being.

3) Quantum Computing can increase the calculation speed by hundreds of millions of times;

4) Reversible calculations make it possible to make large asteroid-like computers;

5) Nanotechnology allows people to arbitrarily assemble molecules and atoms, uses junk as raw materials to breed numerous robots, and can also work with bio- engineering to solve the human brain's way of thinking;

6) Fermi technology is a nuclear and quark class project, and will inevitably bring about unlimited possibility for the increase in calculation speed.1 

After reviewing these technologies, Garis came to a conclusion: 50 or 100 years later, human beings will have no control over AI, so there may be a huge crisis. AI may exterminate human beings for reasons beyond our under- standing.

Faced with this danger, some scientists advocate stopping the study of AI. These people are called terrans. For example, the American futurologist Bill Joy. After analyzing various possible prospects brought about by technological advancement and various human responses, he said, In my opinion, the only realistic choice is to give up and limit those too dangerous technological research and development, limits our pursuit of such knowledge. We must not take the risk of an all-out destruction to gain knowledge or wealth.” This is what the terrans claim. They are not deliberately opposed to evolution and progress, but can not find other ways.

Cosmics are also very powerful. Cosmics are those who support AI. Garis believes that human beings will be divided into two groups: terrans oppose AI, cosmists insist on AI, the contradiction between them will intensify and leads to war.

I am convinced to the technical prospects of Garis, but the prediction of extermination of human and warfare has logical flaws. Even if AI is really dangerous, it is impossible to stop. It neither should be nor be possible. Instead, people will scramble to develop and adopt AI. It won't be long before everyone believe a sentence: With AI, you can have everything.

In 2017, the Chinese State Council issued New Generation of Artificial Intelligence Development Plan and announced that the nation's power will be used for it. In 2030, China must seize the global commanding heights of AI!

The idea of terrans and the desire to control AI are based on the interests of human beings. But why must we proceed from the interests of humanity? Evolutionism is more important than humanism because people are the result of evolution. If robots are smarter than humans, the rule of robots instead of human is also evolution.

When the robot has the human intelligence, there will be no difference between robot and human. At this time, the robot can be treated as an adult.

Low-level organisms are also machines. Their behavior is entirely determined by the genes and the environment. There is no freedom. Human is also a machine, but the human brain is too complicated. We cannot understand this machine. We can only admit that it is a subject and has the ability to choose freely. In this way, people are not machines.

When AI exceeds human intelligence, AI is still a machine because we understand its entire structure, and we know every circuit of every chip. So it is a white box. The human brain is still a black box, the black box is free, the white box is not free, the white box is a machine, the black box is not a machine.

In fact, when people and AI develop to a certain degree in the future, the human brain will be fully understood. It will no longer be a black box, and people will become machines. Man has never been born with superiority and sacredness. Man's sacredness is self-proclaimed and irrational. It is caused by man's limited understanding.

Reference

1.Hugo de Garis(2007). The Artilect War: Cosmists vs. Terrans: A Bitter Controversy Concerning Whether Humanity Should Build Godlike Massively Intelligent Machines. Transtated by Hu Jing. Beijing: Tsinghua University Press, p.52-73.(In Chinese)